Look to 2010

November 11, 2008

Patrick Ruffini has a good point here:

So, I implore you, quit focusing on 2012, and focus on 2010 and on showing the Republican Party can rebuild at the state legislative, Congressional, and statewide levels in 2010. (That’s where we’re starting with Rebuild the Party.) Start blogging about potential candidates for Congress now. Even if we somehow manage to unseat Barack Obama in 2012, it won’t mean very much if our ranks in the House and Senate remain decimated, and we’ve redistricted into oblivion until 2022.

The Next Right as a whole is having a great conversation about some of the means for Republican renewal.

Don’t Forget About Georgia…

November 11, 2008

…Obama sure hasn’t.  From the Huffington Post:

Democratic officials confirm that Barack Obama is sending aides to help with the runoff senatorial campaign in Georgia, putting his post-election coattails to an immediate test.

Organizers who worked on behalf of the Illinois Democrat are heading to the Peach State to offer similar assistance to Jim Martin, the Democratic challenger who is facing a second-round contest against incumbent Saxby Chambliss after neither candidate received 50 percent of the initial vote.

The investment by Obama, confirmed by an official working on behalf of the Senate campaign, apparently includes “ground team” members as well as “online specialists and bloggers,” and represents one of the earliest tests of the influence he can wield on the political landscape.

Both campaigns are trying to muster resources for the December 2 runoff.  You can help out Chambliss here and here.  With tens of thousands of ballots uncounted in Alaska and very, um, interesting things happening for the vote tallies in Minnesota, this could be the crucial race to keep the Democrats from getting to 60 votes.

It’s Not Over Yet

November 8, 2008

There are still three contested Senate elections: Stevens in AK, Chambliss in GA, and Coleman in MN.  They’re still going through absentee and contested ballots in Alaska, Chambliss will be heading into a runoff in December, and Coleman’s stuck in a very close recount.  All three could use money and on-the-ground support.

Stevens is asking for $75,000 more to cover costs and could always use more help from lawyers/ballot observers.  Check out his website to see how to help.  (Even if you don’t like Stevens but are sympathetic to Republicans, you might consider helping him.  If Stevens wins, he could resign or by expelled from the Senate.  A special election would find a replacement to fill out the rest of his term; there’s some controversy about the powers of the Gov. of Alaska, Sarah Palin, to appoint a temporary replacement.)

Coleman’s leading Franken by just a few hundred votes in Minnesota.  Franken’s trying to whip up cash and volunteer time from his supporters.  You can help Coleman counter Franken here.  With numbers this close, a few votes here or there could make a huge difference.

Chambliss will be the longest-term commitment.  Everyone seems to think that a runoff is very likely, since no candidate got over 50% of the vote.  Chambliss led his Democratic challenger 49.8 to 46.8, but don’t expect this runoff to be a cakewalk.  The Democrat’s already using Barack Obama as a way of trying to drum up support, and you can bet that Democrats across the nation will be willing to pour money and effort into this race if they think it could pull them over the 60-vote mark in the Senate.  On the Republican side, McCain has already confirmed that he will be campaigning for Chambliss, and Palin might help out, too.  The date of the runoff is December 2.  You can volunteer with Chambliss’s campaign here and contribute here.

If Republicans win at least one of these seats, they can keep Democrats below 60 votes in the Senate.  Winning all three would give the Republicans 43 votes, a workable minority.  (If the Democrats push Joe Lieberman too far, he could decide to caucus with the Republicans, giving them 44 votes.)  If you’re serious about putting the brakes on or seriously interrogating Barack Obama’s agenda, here’s your chance.

Oregon Down

November 6, 2008

Senator Gordon Smith has now conceded to Jeff Merkley.

Republicans are left with, at most, 43 seats in the Senate.

Silver Linings

November 5, 2008

I have to disagree with this point by David Freddoso at the National Review about the good and bad results of this election:

9) Rep. Chris Shays (R., Conn.) finally lost.

Granted, Shays had his shortcomings, but I don’t think we should be celebrating the loss of the last GOP House member in New England; it’s pretty bad to be shut out of a whole region.  And he stood by the GOP on a lot of issues.

In the good news department, Tom McClintock of CA-04, profiled here, has a slight (400-vote) lead over his Democratic opponent.  Hopefully, in the tabulation of the final ballots, he’ll be able to maintain that lead.

Senate Seat Updates

November 5, 2008

Well, it’s still close all around.

With 99% of precincts reporting, Ted Stevens leads the Democrat by a little over 3,000 votes (48-47) in Alaska.

It’s unknown whether Saxby Chambliss will have a runoff in Georgia (he leads the Democrat there right now 50-46), but the GA GOP chair thinks that there will be a runoff.

In Minnesota, Coleman leads Franken by about 600 votes; Franken’s people are likely to ask for a recount, to which their are entitled by law.

With 75% of the precincts in in Oregon, Gordon Smith leads the Democrat Jeff Merkley 48-46.

If all these races go the GOP’s way, we could be looking at 44 Republicans in the Senate.

Small Mercies

November 5, 2008

Amidst all the unfortunate defeats, there is a slight ray of hope in the Senate: it looks like Republicans maybe—just maybe—will maintain the ability to filibuster.  Though the GOP lost in North Carolina, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Virginia, and Colorado, Republicans were able to keep the endangered Senate seats in Kentucky and Mississippi.  Georgia hasn’t yet been declared for Saxby Chambliss yet, but, with 97% of the precincts in, he leads his Democratic opponent 51-45 (though he needs to get one vote above 50% in order to avoid a runoff in December).  If nothing upsets this balance, Republicans will have at least 41 votes in the Senate.

Hope may still endure in Minnesota and Oregon, too.  With 81% of precincts in, Norm Coleman has a slight lead over Al Franken.  With 42% of precincts in in Oregon, Gordon Smith just barely trails the Democrat.  Of course, these numbers will change.  Check out CNN maps for MN and OR.

And who knows what could happen in Alaska.

So maybe at least 41 votes….

Congratulations

November 5, 2008

Hats off to the Obama people for a spirited, effective campaign.  I send President-elect Obama the warmest thoughts as he prepares to enter the White House and hope, in his term, that he will pursue policies that are prudent and live up to the best of this country’s principles.  His victory is, in part, a demonstration of our American capacity for renewal, for leaving behind, for going beyond, a legacy of hate and suspicion.

The McCain campaign has earned its own thanks, too, for all its hard work, and a special thanks to McCain for his decades of service.

Of course, the American people deserve their own applause: for engaging in the democratic process, for their faith in free and fair elections, and for their commitment to the principles of liberty.

Now, as ever, is time to build for the future.

Election Results

November 5, 2008

FOX calls NH and NC Senate races for the Democrats.

FOX predicts McConnell in KY keeps his seat.

Keep It Going

November 4, 2008

Ambinder posts some emails from Obama people.  One is “urgent” and urging supporters to keep phonebanking.  Another says that Minnesota (where there’s a tight Senate race and a number of close House races) is “significantly closer” than a number of polls have predicted.  Ace reports that McCain’s people are hopeful about keeping Iowa.  You can check out McCain’s Action Center if you want to help out—maybe make a few phone calls.  Some effort now could still swing some tight Congressional races.

And make sure you vote!


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