Mixed Money

The headline for this Politico story is pretty pessimistic, but the content of the story has some good news about the financial fortunes GOP candidates for Congress mixed in with the bad.  Main takeaway: many weakened Republican incumbents still have either financial parity with or an advantage over their Democratic challengers:

Kansas Republican Lynn Jenkins tapped former rival Jim Ryun’s fundraising network to raise more than $681,000 in the past three months, more than double the total of Rep. Nancy Boyda, the Democratic incumbent. Jenkins will need every bit of it to unseat Boyda, who has been more resilient than expected.

Minnesota Democrat Ashwin Madia, a first-time candidate, pulled in nearly $1 million — just as the cash-strapped NRCC began cutting back spending on behalf of Republican Erik Paulsen.

Ohio Republican Steve Stivers, who hopes to succeed Republican Rep. Deborah Pryce, raised $657,000, his highest quarterly total to date. He’s now pulled even with Democrat Mary Jo Kilroy in campaign cash.

The biggest loser of the day seems to be Rep. John B. Shadegg (R-Ariz.). He seems to be showing every sign of being an incumbent who doesn’t realize he’s in serious trouble until it’s too late.

After a strong start to the year, he raised only $217,000 in the most recent quarter — far less than his upstart Democratic challenger, Bob Lord. Now he’s asking his conservative House colleagues to chip in cash to keep him in the House.

Other nice detail from this story: Michele Bachmann (R-MN-06) is leading (42-38) in a recent poll over her Democrat challenger.  Bad news about this detail: Bachmann’s not even listed on the top 50 House seats most likely to flip.


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