FL-16 Looking Increasingly Like a Pick-up Opportunity

A new poll shows Tom Rooney (R) gaining a significant lead over incumbent Rep. Tim Mahoney (D):

The poll, released Friday and conducted for Republican Tom Rooney’s campaign and the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), shows a big shift in the race, which Mahoney had been leading. He is now behind Rooney, 55 percent to 29 percent, with 16 percent of voters undecided.

ABC News reported Monday that Mahoney paid former aide Patricia Allen more than $120,000 and arranged work at a consulting firm after she threatened to sue him. The poll was conducted Wednesday and Thursday.

Mahoney apologized for hurting his family but has said the issue is private and that he did nothing illegal. He has called for the House Ethics Committee to investigate, but voters will issue their own verdict in two and a half weeks.

Rooney released a poll in September showing Mahoney ahead, 48-41.

The latest poll was conducted by the Tarrance Group among 300 likely voters. It had a 5.8 percent margin of error.

Mahoney had a 28 percent favorable rating, compared to 53 percent unfavorable.

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