November 4, 2008

Well, today’s the big day.  A few things to remember:

Vote no matter what any leaked exit polls say.

Vote even if the networks declare a winner of the presidency before the polls are closed in your state.  There are a lot of downticket races where your vote will still be needed.

Make sure your friends, family members, etc. get out and vote.

Do not despair.  Do not give up hope.  Keep trying.  No matter who wins this election, there is always another one.



November 3, 2008

Via Neoneocon via Ace, an old Harper’s profile on Obama.  Guess what: with a smaller Democrat majority in Congress, his goals would be more modest:

Obama said he had no doubt that if the Democrats controlled Congress, it would be possible to move forward on important progressive legislation. The alternative, until then, is to be opportunistic and look for areas where he can get enough Republican support to actually get a bill passed. That, he said, “means that most of the legislation I’ve proposed will be more modest in its goals than it would be if I were in the majority party.”

And later,

“Progressives have a harder job. They need a big enough majority to initiate bold proposals.”

How bold do you want a President Obama’s proposals to be?  Would you like some other energy producers bankrupted?  Or are coal-factory builders enough? How high do you want your energy prices to skyrocket?

Congress can be moderatedIt’s not too late.

Not Over Tomorrow?

November 3, 2008

Are you ready for Georgia?  Saxby Chambliss is locked in a tight re-election race.  He seems to have a slight lead now against his Democratic opponent, but there could be a little wrinkle: under Georgia law, if no candidate gains over 50% of the vote, there’s a runoff election.  How do Chambliss’s recent polling numbers look?


In the U.S. Senate race, incumbent Republican Saxby Chambliss has a 4-point lead, but less than the majority needed to avert a runoff with Democrat Jim Martin, according to the poll.

Chambliss leads in the poll, 48 percent to 44 percent. Libertarian Allen Buckley won support of 5 percent of those polled. Three percent said they were undecided.

RCP shows Chambliss not cracking 50% that much since September.

So, if no candidate scores above 50% in tomorrow’s GA Senate race, we could be seeing a runoff election on December 2.

Iowa or New Hampshire?

November 3, 2008

I’ll play the standard pundit here and offer a cute (and maybe inappropriate) dualism: is tomorrow going to be like the Democratic race in Iowa or in New Hampshire?  In Iowa, Obama solidified a slight, and growing, polling lead into an 8-point margin of victory.  In New Hampshire, he had an on average 8-point lead heading into election day, but Clinton ended up winning by about 3 points.

What happened in NH?  Interestingly, the RCP average showed Obama at about 38%; he ended up with 36%.  So his defeat was not only about losing voters but about undecided voters breaking overwhelmingly for Clinton, who had an average of 30% in the polling but ended up winning with 39%.

Let’s be optimistic on the day before the election: according to the (self-proclaimed) most accurate pollster of the 2004 election, the Obama/McCain/Undecided numbers are 46.7/44.6/8.7.  That’s a lot of undecideds!  They could break for McCain/the Republicans.  Obama in a number of battleground states and a number of Democratic candidates in closely contested races for the Senate and House also fall below 50% in a number of recent polls.

Going into the voting booth, plenty of undecided voters will ask themselves, do I really want to hand over complete power to a party whose leader wants my energy costs to skyrocket, which has done such a great job overseeing government-sponsored entities such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and whose leadership wants to shut down debate over the public airwaves?  The answer to that question may affect more races than the one between Obama and McCain.

Coal Officials React to Obama on Energy

November 3, 2008

Obama’s admitted desire to bankrupt the builders of new coal plants is (surprisingly) drawing some negative reactions from those organizations representing those who make their livelihood in the coal business.  The leader of the Ohio Coal Association, whose affiliated PAC has given to both Republicans and Democrats, says that these remarks “spell disaster” for America’s coal industry and accuses Obama of duplicity:

“the message from the Democratic candidate for President could not be clearer: the Obama-Biden ticket spells disaster for America’s coal industry and the tens of thousands of Americans who work in it.

“These undisputed, audio-taped remarks, which include comments from Senator Obama like ‘I haven’t been some coal booster’ and ‘if they want to build [coal plants], they can, but it will bankrupt them’ are extraordinarily misguided.

“It’s evident that this campaign has been pandering in states like Ohio, Virginia, West Virginia, Indiana and Pennsylvania to attempt to generate votes from coal supporters, while keeping his true agenda hidden from the state’s voters.

“Senator Obama has revealed himself to be nothing more than a short- sighted, inexperienced politician willing to say anything to get a vote. But today, the nation’s coal industry and those who support it have a better understanding of his true mission, to ‘bankrupt’ our industry, put tens of thousands out of work and cause unprecedented increases in electricity prices.

“In addition to providing an affordable, reliable source of low-cost electricity, domestic coal holds the key to our nation’s long-term energy security – a goal that cannot be overlooked during this time of international instability and economic uncertainty.

“Few policy areas are more important to our economic future than energy issues. As voters head to the polls tomorrow, it is essential they remember that access to reliable, affordable, domestic energy supplies is essential to economic growth and stability.”

A top official of the West Virginia Coal Association also calls these comments “unbelievable.”

Kat-Mo has some pretty grim theorizing about the kind of energy dynamic a President Obama and far-left Congress could initiate: government-created scarcities in turn demanding more government intervention and redistribution of income in order to cope with these scarcities.

Remember: this isn’t only about coal (though that issue can play well in some swing states).  These energy-policy issues will affect everyone in every industry.  Obama wants energy prices to “skyrocket” for everyone.  These energy taxes could be a significant burden on all kinds of domestic manufacturers and could place them at a further disadvantage compared to manufacturers in India and China, who would not have to pay these “skyrocketing” energy costs.  A far-left-written cap-and-trade policy could easily become a vehicle for a massive expansion of the power of the federal government to intervene in the economy.  It could also be an invitation to corruption, in which certain favored players get subsidies and free/discounted carbon permits.

You don’t have to give the radical left a blank checkIt’s not over yet.


November 2, 2008

A few posts up at Ace of Spades on various get-out-the-vote adventures.  You want to participate in GOTV and are shy—don’t worry: there’s space for you, too!

I spent yesterday afternoon driving around a fantastic group of high school kids for GOTV. They were knocking on the doors of people who are considered likely Republican voters (i.e. unaffiliated NRA members) who don’t tend to make it to the polls. If they weren’t home, the students left literature. The kids were fantastic, and all it cost me was about $10 in gas to go to about 150 households. (Well, that plus the gatorade and water and Tylenol I bought them because they were experiencing altitude sickness, such is the hazard of coming to Colorado from California.) If you are not a person who likes talking to people, this is an excellent way to volunteer, as my job was to just stay in the car and figure out where to go next, and record whether people were home and their responses as to who the households were voting for. Call your local office and see if they need extra drivers, or need someone to be on standby for a shift in case someone doesn’t show up.

In Colorado, the Victory offices are still looking for poll watchers. If you want to be a poll watcher, you need to sign up immediately, as you have to go through training. They seem to be especially looking for lawyers. The training, at least in Colorado, seems to consist of a scheduled 1.5 hour web seminar, and a conference call on Monday.

Here’s another post where people relate their GOTV experiences.

Obama: Energy Costs Should Skyrocket

November 2, 2008

Hot Air brings our attention to a little tidbit in an interview Obama gave with the San Francisco Chronicle in January.  Obama wants you to pay significantly more for energy.

You know, when I was asked earlier about the issue of coal, uh, you know — Under my plan of a cap and trade system, electricity rates would necessarily skyrocket. Even regardless of what I say about whether coal is good or bad. Because I’m capping greenhouse gases, coal power plants, you know, natural gas, you name it — whatever the plants were, whatever the industry was, uh, they would have to retrofit their operations. That will cost money. They will pass that money on to consumers.

Obama wants the builders of coal plants to be led into bankruptcy, and he wants to use government regulation to ensure this bankruptcy.  Some questions from Chicago Boyz:

1)Would he also bankrupt those who already operate coal-fired plants, which produce about 40% of the nation’s electricity? Presumably, yes, although he might give them a few years’ grace period.

2)Would he also charge carbon taxes on coal *exports*? For one who believes that CO2-based global warming is among the most critical world issues, it would be irrational to suppress the use of coal at home while still permitting its transfer abroad. Expect the carbon fees to eventually be applied at the mine mouth, not just the point of use.

3)What about the integrated steel companies, which use coke (made from coal) in their blast furnaces? Does he want to bankrupt them, too?

No Quarter highlight some of those states whose economies are particularly based on coal technologies, states like Wyoming, West Virginia, Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Texas, Montana, Illinois, Virginia, North Dakota, Colorado, Indiana, New Mexico, Utah, Ohio, Alabama and Arizona.

Nuclear energy generates about 20% of US energy, but Obama, and the Democrats, are not very big fans of that, either.

Energy is a very serious issue, and it warrants a serious discussion.  Is this discussion likely to take place when far-left Democrats hold unchecked power in the federal government?  This Obama-style cap-and-trade policy will be the equivalent of a massive tax (one that skyrockets the cost of heating your home, driving your car, buying lots of products).  Remember, this skyrocketing is not incidental to this Democrat energy plan: it’s a central feature.  Do you want your energy costs to skyrocket right now?  Does your sister/uncle/best friend in a swing state want that?

There are ways to put the brakes on and work towards a real bipartisan discussion.

Who’s Going to Get a “Tax Cut” Again?

October 31, 2008

Bill Richardson is now talking about the bar for the “rich” being set at $120,000, not the $250,000 of yestermonth.  As Ed puts it,

Obama started at $250K, dropped to $200K, Joe Biden adjusted it to $150K earlier this week, and now it’s dropped another 20% since then.

CBS News has analyzed Obama’s budget priorities, and it finds that, based on his current “tax cut” plans, he can’t pay for all he’s said he’s going to pay for.  How’s he going to make up the difference?

Democrats are still talking about taxing your 401(k) plans and forcing you to “invest” 5% of your income in government-run accounts. Barney Frank’s talking about raising taxes and cutting defense allocations.

Are you worried about what’s going to happen to your tax bill?  Don’t be selfish.

You don’t have to give the left total controlIt’s not too late to get involved.

The New Openness

October 31, 2008

Obama pushes three McCain-endorsing newspapers off the campaign plane.  Via Drudge:

The Obama campaign has decided to heave out three newspapers from its plane for the final days of its blitz across battleground states -- and all three endorsed Sen. John McCain for president!

The NY POST, WASHINGTON TIMES and DALLAS MORNING NEWS have all been told to move out by Sunday to make room for network bigwigs...

Despite pleas from top editors of the three newspapers that have covered the campaign for months at extraordinary cost, the Obama campaign says their reporters -- and possibly others -- will have to vacate their coveted seats so more power players can document the final days of Sen. Barack Obama's historic campaign to become the first black American president.

Some told the DRUDGE REPORT that the reporters are being ousted to bring on documentary film-makers to record the final days; others expect to see on board more sympathetic members of the media, including the NY TIMES' Maureen Dowd, who once complained that she was barred from McCain's Straight Talk Express airplane.

After a week of quiet but desperate behind-the-scenes negotiations, the reporters of the three papers heard last night that they were definitely off for the final swing. They are already planning how to cover the final days by flying commercial or driving from event to event.

Newspapers, you’re on notice: be careful about criticizing Hope and Change.  Who knows what might happen.

Do you really want these folks to be unaccountable?

Louisiana Senate: Really a Pick-up?

October 31, 2008

Okay, one poll released earlier this week showed Landrieu with a substantial lead, but John Kennedy‘s campaign is circulating another poll—one that shows him behind by a point.  The Politico has the details on the poll and analysis.

The OnMessage Inc. poll, conducted 10/27-29 for Kennedy’s campaign, surveyed 900 likely voters for a margin of error of +/- 3.3%. Landrieu and Kennedy were tested.

General Election Matchup

The numbers are a big improvement for Kennedy over recent polls that show Landrieu with a much bigger lead, including a Southeastern Louisiana University poll earlier this week that showed the Democrat leading by 19 points.

Kennedy’s campaign credits a new NRSC advertisement that paints Landrieu as a rubber stamp for Barack Obama (The two senators vote together 81% of the time, according to the ad), as well as popular Governor Bobby Jindal’s involvement in the race on Kennedy’s behalf. Here’s the NRSC’s new ad, which says she’s “not only corrupt, Landrieu is liberal”

That’s winnable.  Mary Landrieu has an “F” grade from the Gun Owners of America; Kennedy gets an “A” from both the NRA and GOA. Residents of the Bayou State who want to stop the Democrats from overriding every Republican filibuter, here’s your chance to help.